LEGACYouth: Summer Survival Guide 2013

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Flash Weather: 2015-16 Winter Weather Forecast

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Well, folks. We’re only one week past the autumnal equinox…and I think we all know what that means… …break out the fall décor, have yourself a very merry pumpkin space latte , and check Cameron’s blog for yet another preliminary winter weather forecast. Now, I’m not gonna lie...my winter weather  forecast for middle Tennessee last year held up rather well. Granted, I normally don’t toot my own horn considering I’m just a humble, amateur meteorologist in it for the love of the science; however, after the multiple ice storms and ankle-biter snow events we experienced between January 23 - February 21, I’d have to say my “B+” grade, in terms of activity and magnitude, was the correct call. So as the leaves start changing and the days grow shorter, I’m sure many of you are wondering: what can we expect this winter. Well, I’m so glad you asked. Last year , I itemized and graded certain atmospheric criteria to obtain an overall grade for the winter. This year, I’ll foll...
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Flash Weather: 2018-19 Winter Weather Forecast

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Well, folks. We’re a month removed from the autumnal equinox…and I think we all know what that means… …break out the fall décor (if you haven’t already), have yourself a very merry pumpkin-spice latte , and check Cameron’s blog for yet another preliminary winter weather forecast. Now, I admit: while last year’s winter weather forecast verified for the most part, I underestimated the magnitude of late December-early January cold fearing a multi-week blowtorch would skew monthly temperature means (as it did January and February 2017); however, as it turned out, there were very few stretches December 2017 to March 2018 featuring consistent +5-10 departures. So while I caught the overall pattern in advance, I belittled the margin on account of recency bias. Had I removed such predisposition from the equation, my results would have been more accurate. But as they say, you live and learn, right? As far as what we can expect in the winter ahead, while we can only speculate off ...
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Flash Weather: 2014-15 Winter Weather Forecast

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Well…it’s that magical time of year again when I switch into “ winter weather forecasting ” mode and  spend a couple hours a day immersed in regional weather forums, computer model output and teleconnection analysis. Now, I’ll admit…I’m just an amateur. I don’t consider myself professionally qualified nor do I trumpet this forecast as more valid than others out there. ‘Cause truth is : I’m just another voice in the chorus of passionate weather freaks hoping to accurately play-call the most entertaining yet most unpredictable season of all. However, unlike the past two years, I have greater confidence in my understanding of what will happen during the upcoming meteorological winter. Despite tasting the bitter dregs of busting on a forecast (i.e. 2011-12), I’ve also triumphed in the victory of calling it right-on (i.e. 2013-14). And with my accuracy score improving every year, I have high hopes that this favorable trend will continue. Although there are numerous meteorological...
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